Biggest Fantasy Riser
Kev White: Kenyan Drake. The David Johnson - Nuk Hopkins trade was a double win for Drake. A potential messy backfield situation was cleared up, leaving an ideal pathway to success in front of him. With the addition of Hopkins it's a 'rising tide lifts all boats' type of outcome - where his presence opens up the field in both the run & pass game for Drake, plus provides more TD opportunity within a better offense than 2019. With these offseason moves, it puts Drake firmly in play for the lead role in a top offense and a top 10 fantasy season is well within his range.
Parker McDonald: This might be a hot take, but it's Josh Allen. He now has true WR1 in Diggs. John Brown was solid in his first year with Buffalo and will make a great complimentary piece playing opposite Diggs. Beasley will continue to get his out of the slot and fills out the best receiving corp Allen has had. Allen loves to sling the ball deep, and Diggs, along with Brown, will give him one the best deep threat tandems in the league. He finished inside the top 10 last season and with the addition of Diggs to the offense he has top five potential. I am very excited to see this offense next season.
Rich Causier: The obvious answer here is Kenyan Drake and I'd be foolish not to mention him but this does come with a note of caution. Drake owners should breathe a sigh of relief as signing on the transition tag keeps him in the best possible fantasy situation and his range of outcomes include an RB1 finish.
Is he the biggest Fantasy Riser? Yes.
Will be I drafting him at his current ADP? Not on your life.
I cannot trust a guy who has never exceeded 20 carries in a game in his professional career to be my RB1. I would be taking Chase Edmonds in the double digit rounds and looking to sell Kenyan Drake in Dynasty whilst his value is this hot.
Shane Barrett: Kyler Murray. He now has a #1 receiver that isn't over the hill (sorry Larry). Murray gaining Nuk and having Kenyan in the backfield consistently is going to be huge for him. People are predicting him to come in right behind Lamar and Mahomes and I agree with them. His rushing ability gives him a great floor for fantasy purposes, and then they added talent or kept talent around him. He should have a stellar season thanks to the acquistion of Hopkins and being able to spread the ball to him, Fitz, Kirk and Kenyan.
FF Spotlight: The biggest fantasy riser post free agency, in my opinion is Tom Brady. It's totally cliche, but he has upgraded his surround skill players exponentially. Look for him near the top 12 QBs in 2020.
Biggest Fantasy Faller
Kev White: Curtis Samuel. Free agency has been double trouble for Samuel, with the additions of Teddy Bridgewater & Robby Anderson. The risk averse, game-manager type, Teddy B is a poor fit for Samuel's field stretching role. This also ties in with the addition of Anderson - a player who wins in the same area of the field as Samuel. We know that Samuel can be utilised as a diverse weapon near the line of scrimmage, however even in that scenario he would be battling for targets with RB1 Christian McCaffrey & the ever-popular breakout TE Ian Thomas.
Rich Causier: Broncos RB - What an atrocious piece of business it was from the Broncos to sign Melvin Gordon for 2 years/$16 Million. Waste of money that could have been better spent on needs elsewhere.
Melvin Gordon's efficiency numbers on his return in 2019 fell off a cliff and he never exceeded 54% snap share albeit some of this can be attributed to his hold-out to start of season. He joins a team with a second year QB trying to find his feet and shares a backfield with a much better pure runner in Lindsay.
Philip Lindsay has rushed for over 2000 yards in his first 2 years in the league and is 9th overall in rushing yards since the beginning of 2018 and the arrival of Gordon has torpedoed Lindsay's value. The best we can hope for in this situation is that Lindsay's ADP falls rapidly which would still make him a value pick at the right price as we know he will make the most of the opportunities he does get.
Shane Barrett: I'm going to go a little outside the box here and go Darren Waller. For some odd reason the Raiders signed TWO veteran TEs, Jason Witten and Nick O'Leary. And they still don't have a true #1 WR which they will likely draft. Hunter Renfrow is still there as well and Waller's numbers already dropped when Renfrow or Tyrell Williams were on the field, so adding to the TE room has added a problem for Mr. Waller. He would be someone I would watch as a faller especially with where he finished as a TE1 last year.
FF Spotlight: The biggest fantasy faller is Jordan Howard. Miami is in a massive rebuild with questions all over the team. He will likely have to play with Fitzpatrick and a future rookie QB. I think he will see 8 men in the box frequently and his production with suffer.